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國家統(tǒng)計局：2023年GDP修訂數(shù)據(jù)不影響2024年增速

國家統(tǒng)計局：2023年GDP修訂數(shù)據(jù)不影響2024年增速

12月26日，國家統(tǒng)計局副局長藺濤在國新辦上表示，關(guān)于2023年GDP核算數(shù)據(jù)的修訂對2024年GDP增速的影響，總的來說，2023年GDP核實后，2024年GDP總量會有所變化，但是2024年GDP增速核算不會受到明顯影響。根據(jù)我國現(xiàn)行的GDP核算方法規(guī)定，GDP初步核算主要是采用相關(guān)指標(biāo)增長速度來推算。也就是說，在初步核算2024年GDP時是以2023年GDP修訂數(shù)為基數(shù)，利用不同行業(yè)相關(guān)指標(biāo)增長速度來核算，也就是先推算出2024年各行業(yè)增加值的增速，再根據(jù)這個增速和上年增加值總量來核算2024年的增加值總量。所以，盡管2023年GDP修訂數(shù)在總量方面會有所變化，但對2024年GDP增速不會產(chǎn)生明顯影響。從過去四次經(jīng)濟普查的情況來看，數(shù)據(jù)修訂對隨后的年份的GDP增速都沒有產(chǎn)生明顯的影響。

【相關(guān)閱讀】

2023年GDP比初步核算數(shù)增加33690億元

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